Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.18% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.98%) and 2-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%) , while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.