/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
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Jaydon Banel
41'
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Jaydon Banel
54'
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Oscar Fraulo
80'
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Carlton Morris
89'
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Cruz Anthony Allen
90'+2'
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Max Johnston
90'+3'
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Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
90'+3'
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Cruz Anthony Allen
90'+3'
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Jun-ho Bae
35'
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Sam Gallagher
46'
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Lewis Baker
63'
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Million Manhoef
63'
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Milan Smit
78'
Derby County vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.94% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%) , while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
47.53%
Draw
26.94%
Stoke City
25.53%
Both Teams to Score:
49.62%
Goals
Over 1.5
70.54%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
29.46%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
45.36%
Under 2.5
54.64%
Over 3.5
24.08%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
75.92%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
12.83%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
87.17%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Derby County
32.16%
Draw
46%
Stoke City
21.84%
Team To Score First
Derby County
53.3%
No Goal
8.59%
Stoke City
38.11%
Corners
Over 8
59.65%
Equal 8
11.72%
Under 8
28.63%
Over 9
47.51%
Equal 9
12.14%
Under 9
40.35%
Over 10.5
36.03%
Under 10.5
63.97%
Derby County Goals
Over 1.5
42.39%
Under 1.5
57.61%
Over 2.5
17.97%
Under 2.5
82.03%
Over 3.5
6.19%
Under 3.5
93.81%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
60.07%
Under 0.5
39.93%
Over 1.5
25.29%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
74.71%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
7.7%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
92.3%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
1.99%
Under 3.5
98.01%
Score analysis
Derby County
47.52%
Draw
26.93%
Stoke City
25.52%
Derby County
1-0
@
12.43%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.08%
Total : 47.52%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.08%
Total : 47.52%
Draw
1-1
@
12.56%
0-0 @ 8.59%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.93%
0-0 @ 8.59%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.93%
Stoke City
0-1
@
8.41%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.52%
1-2 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.52%