Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 47.33%. A draw has a probability of 26.87% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.51%) , while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (8.37%).