Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.16% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%) , while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.