Championship Gameweek 36
Derby
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Sheff Weds
  • Ben Brereton Díaz 11' goal
  • Matt Clarke 45' goal
  • David Ozoh 62' yellowcard
  • Jaydon Banel 74' yellowcard
  • Carlton Morris 75' yellowcard
  • Oscar Fraulo 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jerry Yates 17'
  • yellowcard Joel Ndala 74'
  • yellowcard Jarvis Thornton 82'
  • yellowcard Iké Ugbo 89'

Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 12.30pm
Derby 3 - 1 Blackburn
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Sheff Weds 1 - 3 Southampton
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Charlie McNeill

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.72% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%) , while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 56.33%
Draw 23.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Sheffield Wednesday 19.95%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.04% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 25.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 71.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.42% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Derby County 38.49%
Draw 42.65%
Sheffield Wednesday 18.86%

Team To Score First

Derby County 59.19% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 7.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Sheffield Wednesday 33.78% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 30.38% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 45.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 42.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 34.62%
Under 10.5 65.38%

Derby County Goals

Over 1.5 50.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 24.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 9.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.1% ▼ (-0.02)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5 54.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 45.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 22.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 93.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Derby County 56.33%
Draw 23.72%
Sheffield Wednesday 19.95%
Derby County
1-0 @ 12.54% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 10.02% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 56.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.72%
Sheffield Wednesday
0-1 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.08%
0-2 @ 2.94%
1-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.95%

Head to Head

Championship
Sheff Weds
Dec 15, 2025 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Derby
  • Dominic Iorfa 56' yellowcard
  • Max Lowe 79' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Charlie McNeill 84' yellowcard
  • Harry Amass 87' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 32'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 56'
  • goal Liam Thompson 57'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 62'
Championship Gameweek 25
Sheff Weds
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Hillsborough Stadium
Derby
  • Barry Bannan 8' goal
  • Josh Windass 61' goal
  • Djeidi Gassama 63' goal
  • Anthony Musaba 74' goal
  • Shea Charles 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 32'
  • yellowcard Kenzo Goudmijn 34'
  • goal Jerry Yates 68'
  • goal Ebou Adams 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 18
Derby
Dec 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Sheff Weds
  • Ebou Adams 9' goal
  • Ebou Adams 37' yellowcard
  • Marcus Harness 47' yellowcard
  • Ben Osborn 71' yellowcard
  • Callum Elder 85' yellowcard
  • Kayden Jackson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Barry Bannan 21'
  • goal Barry Bannan 64'
  • goal Jamal Lowe 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 46
Sheff Weds
May 7, 2023 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hillsborough Stadium
Derby
  • Michael Smith 43' goal
League One Gameweek 20
Derby
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Sheff Weds
Championship Gameweek 46
Derby
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Sheff Weds
  • Martyn Waghorn 49' goal
  • Patrick Roberts 52' goal
  • Colin Kazim-Richards 60' yellowcard
  • Kamil Jozwiak 76' yellowcard
  • Martyn Waghorn 78' goal
  • Festy Ebosele 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Barry Bannan 45'+1'
  • goal Sam Hutchinson 45'+3'
  • goal Callum Paterson 62'
  • goal Julian Borner 69'
  • yellowcard Chey Dunkley 77'
  • yellowcard Kadeem Harris 90'+5'

Form Data

Derby 3 - 1 Blackburn
Hull City 4 - 2 Derby
Watford 2 - 0 Derby
Derby 2 - 0 Swansea
Derby 1 - 2 Ipswich
Bristol City 0 - 5 Derby
Sheff Weds 1 - 3 Southampton
Norwich 2 - 0 Sheff Weds
Sheff Utd 2 - 1 Sheff Weds
Sheff Weds 1 - 2 Millwall
Swansea 4 - 0 Sheff Weds
Blackburn 1 - 0 Sheff Weds