/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
-
Josh Coburn
43'
-
Luke Cundle
72'
-
Macaulay Langstaff
73'
-
Will Smallbone
89'
-
Tom Watson
89'
-
Derek Mazou-Sacko
90'+1'
-
Bobby Clark
46'
-
Jaydon Banel
60'
-
Carlton Morris
60'
-
Oscar Fraulo
84'
-
Richard O'Donnell
86'
Millwall vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (6.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result
Millwall
47.8%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
25%
Derby County
27.2%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
57.66%
▼
(-0.14)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.51%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
22.49%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 2.5
54.99%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
45.02%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
33.03%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 3.5
66.97%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 4.5
19.81%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
80.19%
▲
(+0.15)
First Half Winner
Millwall
32.79%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
44.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Derby County
22.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Team To Score First
Millwall
53.4%
▼
(-0.01)
No Goal
6.14%
▲
(+0.02)
Derby County
40.46%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
59.5%
Equal 8
11.3%
Under 8
29.21%
Over 9
47.84%
Equal 9
11.66%
Under 9
40.5%
Over 10.5
36.79%
Under 10.5
63.21%
Millwall Goals
Over 1.5
47.91%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
52.09%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
23.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
76.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
9.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
90.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
63.75%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
36.25%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
31.13%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
68.87%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 2.5
11.59%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
88.41%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
3.78%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
96.22%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Millwall
47.81%
Draw
25%
Derby County
27.21%
Millwall
1-0
@
9.59%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 47.81%
2-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 47.81%
Draw
1-1
@
11.43%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25%
0-0 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25%
Derby County
0-1
@
6.78%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 27.21%
1-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 27.21%
Nathan Byrne
64'