Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT Racecourse Ground
  • Josh Windass 34' goal
  • Matty James 72' yellowcard
  • Ollie Rathbone 72' yellowcard
  • Ryan Longman 73' yellowcard
  • D. Keillor-Dunn 84' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 84' yellowcard
  • goal Kuryu Matsuki 12'
  • goal Flynn Downes 22'
  • yellowcard Leo Scienza 58'
  • goal Cyle Larin 61'
  • yellowcard Welington 65'
  • yellowcard Ross Stewart 66'
  • goal Ross Stewart 81'
  • goal Finn Azaz 83'
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 85'
  • yellowcard Cameron Archer 85'

Wrexham vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
West Brom 2 - 2 Wrexham
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Josh Windass

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Finn Azaz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 2-1 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%).

Result

Wrexham 37.57% (+0.01)
Draw 24.8% (-0.02)
Southampton 37.63%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.06% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.93% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 19.07% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 59.22% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 40.78% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 36.47% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 63.53% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 21.43% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 78.57% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Wrexham 27.68% (+0.02)
Draw 41.13% (+0.03)
Southampton 31.2% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Wrexham 44.37% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.9% (+0.06)
Southampton 50.73% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.73% (+0.19)
Equal 8 10.34% (+0.07)
Under 8 23.93% (-0.24)
Over 9 54.5% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.22% (+0.09)
Under 9 34.27% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 43.33%
Under 10.5 56.67%

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 42.38% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 57.62% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 18.73% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 81.27% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.79% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.21% (+0.04)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 73.38% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 26.62% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 42.55% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 57.45% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 18.72% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 81.28% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.81% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 93.19% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Wrexham 37.57%
Draw 24.81%
Southampton 37.63%
Wrexham
2-1 @ 8.51% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.17% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.84% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.48% (-0.02)
Total : 37.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.9% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.31% (-0.03)
Total : 24.81%
Southampton
1-2 @ 8.67% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.01% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.31% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.73% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.5% (-0.05)
Total : 37.63%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 9, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT