Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
Racecourse Ground

Wrexham vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
West Brom 2 - 2 Wrexham
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Finn Azaz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Wrexham has a probability of 37.56% and a draw has a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Wrexham win is 2-1 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.12%).

Result

Wrexham 37.56% (+0.84)
Draw 24.82% (-0.17)
Southampton 37.63% (-0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.15% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.01% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 18.99% (-0.44)
Over 2.5 59.37% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 40.63% (-0.67)
Over 3.5 36.71% (+0.72)
Under 3.5 63.29% (-0.73)
Over 4.5 21.54% (+0.61)
Under 4.5 78.46% (-0.61)

First Half Winner

Wrexham 27.66%
Draw 41.11%
Southampton 31.23%

Team To Score First

Wrexham 44.39% (+0.07)
No Goal 4.85% (-0.15)
Southampton 50.76% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 65.55% (+0.11)
Equal 8 10.28% (-0.04)
Under 8 24.16% (-0.09)
Over 9 54.42% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.14% (-0.02)
Under 9 34.45% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 43.33% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 56.67% (-0.15)

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 42.47% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 57.53% (-1.02)
Over 2.5 18.79% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 81.21% (-0.90)
Over 3.5 6.83% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 93.17% (-0.50)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 73.44% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 26.56% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 42.66% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 57.34% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 18.82% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 81.18% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 6.87% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.13% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Wrexham 37.56%
Draw 24.83%
Southampton 37.61%
Wrexham
2-1 @ 8.49% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.16% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.24% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.19% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.17% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.81% (+0.09)
Other @ 6.5% (+0.49)
Total : 37.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 6.74% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.79% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.33% (+0.03)
Total : 24.83%
Southampton
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.12)
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.08)
Other @ 6.54% (-0.04)
Total : 37.61%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 9, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT