/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwrelog.png)
-
Marc Bola
18'
-
Edo Kayembe
38'
-
Nampalys Mendy
71'
-
Mamadou Doumbia
72'
-
Edoardo Bove
83'
-
Formose Mendy
83'
-
Kévin Keben
90'
-
Kévin Keben
90'+1'
-
Edoardo Bove
90'+4'
-
Josh Windass
46'
-
Max Cleworth
49'
-
D. Keillor-Dunn
64'
-
Issa Kaboré
64'
-
Bailey Cadamarteri
75'
-
Jay Rodríguez
88'
Watford vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F03%2Fparkinson-2-69ae0e3f99e3a356622603.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result
Watford
36.06%
▼
(-0.92)
Draw
27.23%
▲
(+0.31)
Wrexham
36.67%
▲
(+0.58)
Both Teams to Score:
52.19%
▼
(-0.36)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.22%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 1.5
27.78%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 2.5
47.24%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 2.5
52.76%
▲
(+0.93)
Over 3.5
25.92%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 3.5
74.08%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 4.5
13.9%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 4.5
86.1%
▲
(+0.37)
First Half Winner
Watford
28.89%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
44.01%
▼
(-0.40)
Wrexham
27.11%
▲
(+0.33)
Team To Score First
Watford
45.4%
▼
(-0.08)
No Goal
8.08%
▲
(+0.35)
Wrexham
46.52%
▼
(-0.28)
Corners
Over 8
58.92%
▲
(+2.36)
Equal 8
11.57%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 8
29.51%
▼
(-2.42)
Over 9
47.02%
▲
(+2.07)
Equal 9
11.9%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 9
41.08%
▼
(-2.36)
Over 10.5
35.82%
▲
(+1.61)
Under 10.5
64.18%
▼
(-1.61)
Watford Goals
Over 1.5
34.93%
▼
(-1.22)
Under 1.5
65.07%
▲
(+1.22)
Over 2.5
13.35%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 2.5
86.65%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 3.5
4.12%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 3.5
95.88%
▲
(+0.27)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
69.52%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
30.48%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
35.42%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
64.58%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 2.5
13.6%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
86.4%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
4.36%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
95.64%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Watford
36.06%
Draw
27.24%
Wrexham
36.67%
Watford
1-0
@
9.76%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 4% ▼ (-0.25)
Total : 36.06%
2-1 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 4% ▼ (-0.25)
Total : 36.06%
Draw
1-1
@
12.78%
▲
(+0.17)
0-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.35)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.24%
0-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.35)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.24%
Wrexham
0-1
@
9.91%
▲
(+0.24)
1-2 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 36.67%
1-2 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 36.67%
Head to Head
-
Josh Windass
21'
-
Kieffer Moore
38'
-
Josh Windass
45'
-
Oliver Rathbone
90'+2'
-
Ben Sheaf
90'+10'
-
Mamadou Doumbia
30'
-
Othmane Maamma
42'
-
Marc Bola
45'
-
Max Alleyne
58'
-
Giorgi Chakvetadze
81'
-
Mamadou Doumbia
82'
-
Imran Louza
90'+3'
-
Javier Gracia
90'+3'
-
Javier Gracia
90'+6'
-
Hector Kyprianou
90'+9'