Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.