Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 13, 2026 8.00pm
Racecourse Ground

Wrexham vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Charlton 0 - 1 Wrexham
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Swansea 2 - 0 Stoke
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 27.24% and a draw has a probability of 24.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 0-1 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.52%).

Result

Wrexham 47.8% (-0.05)
Draw 24.93%
Swansea City 27.24% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.39% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.31%
Under 1.5 23.69%
Over 2.5 52.84% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.16% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.06% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 69.94% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.16% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.84% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Wrexham 32.83%
Draw 43.1%
Swansea City 24.06%

Team To Score First

Wrexham 52.9% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.46% (-0.01)
Swansea City 40.64%

Corners

Over 8 63.74% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.1% (+0.01)
Under 8 25.16% (-0.04)
Over 9 51.85% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.89% (+0.03)
Under 9 36.26% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 40.24% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 59.76% (+0.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 46.66% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 53.34% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 21.6% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.4% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 8.29%
Under 3.5 91.71%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 62.79% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.21% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 29.79% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.21% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 10.65% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.35% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.18% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.82% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Wrexham 47.8%
Draw 24.92%
Swansea City 27.25%
Wrexham
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71%
Other @ 8.08%
Total : 47.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.92%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 7.11%
1-2 @ 6.9% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.97% (+0.03)
Total : 27.25%

Head to Head

Championship
Dec 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marko Stamenic 20' yellowcard
  • Zan Vipotnik 70' goal
  • Ethan Galbraith 72' yellowcard
  • Adam Idah 90' goal
  • goal Cameron Burgess 14' (OG)
  • yellowcard George Thomason 18'
  • yellowcard James McClean 42'