Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 13, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Racecourse Ground
  • Nathan Broadhead 25' goal
  • Josh Windass 67' yellowcard
  • Bailey Cadamarteri 85' yellowcard
  • Liam Cullen 88' goal
  • yellowcard Ji-sung Eom 59'
  • yellowcard Malick Yalcouyé 59'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 59'
  • yellowcard Melker Widell 74'
  • yellowcard Leo Walta 82'

Wrexham vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Wrexham 1 - 2 Hull City
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Nathan Broadhead

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Portsmouth 1 - 2 Swansea
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Wrexham 47.3%
Draw 24.75% (-0.04)
Swansea City 27.95% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.08% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.71% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 22.29% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 54.54% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 45.46% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 31.63% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 68.37% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 18.24% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 81.76% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Wrexham 32.25%
Draw 43.13%
Swansea City 24.62%

Team To Score First

Wrexham 52.82%
No Goal 5.95% (-0.05)
Swansea City 41.23% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.88%
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 28.74%
Over 9 48.09%
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 40.12%
Over 10.5 36.89%
Under 10.5 63.11%

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 47.3% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 52.7% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 22.2% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 77.8% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 8.68% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 91.32% (-0.08)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 64.34% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 35.66% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 31.29% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 68.71% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 11.17% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 88.83% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.3% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.7% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Wrexham 47.29%
Draw 24.74%
Swansea City 27.96%
Wrexham
2-1 @ 9.64%
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.98% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.28% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.5% (+0.08)
Total : 47.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.79% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.74%
Swansea City
1-2 @ 7.21% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.12% (+0.03)
Total : 27.96%

Head to Head

Championship
Dec 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marko Stamenic 20' yellowcard
  • Zan Vipotnik 70' goal
  • Ethan Galbraith 72' yellowcard
  • Adam Idah 90' goal
  • goal Cameron Burgess 14' (OG)
  • yellowcard George Thomason 18'
  • yellowcard James McClean 42'