Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.