Championship
Gameweek
42
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Southampton vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Derby County has a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.28%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Derby County win it is 0-1 (5.58%).
Result
Southampton
57.46%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
22.9%
▲
(+0.03)
Derby County
19.68%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
53.46%
▼
(-0.14)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.45%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
22.55%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
54.35%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
45.65%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
31.68%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
68.32%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 4.5
18.84%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
81.16%
▲
(+0.10)
First Half Winner
Southampton
39.01%
Draw
41.48%
Derby County
19.51%
Team To Score First
Southampton
59.25%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
5.83%
▲
(+0.04)
Derby County
34.92%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
64.89%
▼
(-0.50)
Equal 8
10.53%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 8
24.58%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 9
53.54%
▼
(-0.50)
Equal 9
11.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
35.11%
▲
(+0.51)
Over 10.5
42.31%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 10.5
57.69%
▲
(+0.44)
Southampton Goals
Over 1.5
54.17%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
45.83%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
27.6%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
72.4%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
11.27%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
88.73%
▲
(+0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
56.26%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
43.74%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
23.55%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
76.45%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 2.5
7.17%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
92.83%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
1.82%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
98.18%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Southampton
57.45%
Draw
22.89%
Derby County
19.68%
Southampton
1-0
@
11.16%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 10.28% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 11.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 57.45%
2-1 @ 10.28% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 11.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 57.45%
Draw
1-1
@
10.8%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.89%
0-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.89%
Derby County
0-1
@
5.58%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 19.68%
1-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 19.68%
Head to Head
Championship
FA Cup
-
Tyreke Johnson
16'
-
Stuart Armstrong
68'
-
Nathan Redmond
70'
-
Cedric Soares
75'
-
Harry Wilson
76'
-
Martyn Waghorn
82'
FA Cup
-
Jack Marriott
58'
-
Tom Lawrence
61'
-
Craig Bryson
64'
-
Jack Marriott
87'
-
Nathan Redmond
4'
-
Mohamed Elyounoussi
33'
-
Nathan Redmond
48'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Tom Lawrence
58'
-
Tom Lawrence
68'
-
Mason Bennett
81'
Championship
-
Jos Hooiveld
15'
-
Aaron Martin
57'
-
Adam Lallana
65'
-
Dan Harding
68'
-
Tadanari Lee
75'
-
James Bailey
14'
Championship
-
Russell Anderson
67'
-
Danny Fox
55'
-
Rickie Lambert
61'
-
Morgan Schneiderlin
84'
-
Rickie Lambert
90'