Championship
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-
Leo Scienza
62'
-
Cyle Larin
64'
-
Kuryu Matsuki
64'
-
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
69'
-
Shea Emmanuel Charles
75'
-
Samuel Edozie
75'
-
Nathan Wood
87'
-
Oscar Fraulo
9'
-
Carlton Morris
38'
-
Owen Eames
66'
-
Craig Forsyth
67'
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Sondre Langås
67'
-
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
84'
Southampton vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.89% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.28%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result
Southampton
57.46%
Draw
22.89%
▼
(-0.01)
Derby County
19.68%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
53.42%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.46%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
22.54%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
54.36%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
45.64%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
31.69%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
68.31%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
18.85%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
81.15%
▲
(+0.03)
First Half Winner
Southampton
39.01%
Draw
41.48%
Derby County
19.51%
Team To Score First
Southampton
59.25%
▼
(-0.01)
No Goal
5.83%
▲
(+0.01)
Derby County
34.92%
Corners
Over 8
64.69%
▼
(-0.19)
Equal 8
10.54%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
24.77%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 9
53.34%
▼
(-0.18)
Equal 9
11.35%
Under 9
35.31%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 10.5
42.14%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 10.5
57.86%
▲
(+0.16)
Southampton Goals
Over 1.5
54.19%
Under 1.5
45.81%
Over 2.5
27.61%
Under 2.5
72.39%
Over 3.5
11.26%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
88.74%
▲
(+0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
56.28%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
43.72%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
23.58%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
76.42%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
7.19%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
92.81%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
1.83%
Under 3.5
98.17%
Score analysis
Southampton
57.46%
Draw
22.89%
Derby County
19.68%
Southampton
1-0
@
11.17%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.28%
2-0 @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.02%
3-2 @ 3.2%
Other @ 11.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 57.46%
2-1 @ 10.28%
2-0 @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.02%
3-2 @ 3.2%
Other @ 11.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 57.46%
Draw
1-1
@
10.79%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.89%
0-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.89%
Derby County
0-1
@
5.57%
1-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.68%
1-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.68%
Head to Head
Championship
FA Cup
-
Tyreke Johnson
16'
-
Stuart Armstrong
68'
-
Nathan Redmond
70'
-
Cedric Soares
75'
-
Harry Wilson
76'
-
Martyn Waghorn
82'
FA Cup
-
Jack Marriott
58'
-
Tom Lawrence
61'
-
Craig Bryson
64'
-
Jack Marriott
87'
-
Nathan Redmond
4'
-
Mohamed Elyounoussi
33'
-
Nathan Redmond
48'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Tom Lawrence
58'
-
Tom Lawrence
68'
-
Mason Bennett
81'
Championship
-
Jos Hooiveld
15'
-
Aaron Martin
57'
-
Adam Lallana
65'
-
Dan Harding
68'
-
Tadanari Lee
75'
-
James Bailey
14'
Championship
-
Russell Anderson
67'
-
Danny Fox
55'
-
Rickie Lambert
61'
-
Morgan Schneiderlin
84'
-
Rickie Lambert
90'