Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Cyle Larin 29' goal
  • Tom Fellows 57' yellowcard
  • Leo Scienza 57' yellowcard
  • Caspar Jander 71' yellowcard
  • Ross Stewart 71' yellowcard
  • Ross Stewart 74' goal
  • Cameron Bragg 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Manning 5' (OG)
  • goal Sam Bell 63'
  • yellowcard Mark Sykes 72'
  • yellowcard Rob Dickie 81'

Southampton vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Swansea 1 - 2 Southampton
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Finn Azaz

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol City 2 - 4 Norwich
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.94% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%) , while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Southampton 56.78% (-0.01)
Draw 23.94% (+0.02)
Bristol City 19.21% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.14% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.55% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 28.45% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.84% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 53.16% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 24.81%
Under 3.5 75.19%
Over 4.5 14.34%
Under 4.5 85.66%

First Half Winner

Southampton 39.64%
Draw 39.99% (-0.02)
Bristol City 20.36% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Southampton 57.18% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.22%
Bristol City 34.6% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.14% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 25.91%
Over 9 51.51%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 36.86% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 40.18% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 59.82%

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 48.98%
Under 1.5 51.02%
Over 2.5 22.78% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.22% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.6% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.4% (-0.01)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 52.15% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 47.85% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 19.96% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 80.04% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 5.9% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.1% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.4% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.6% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Southampton 56.78%
Draw 23.93%
Bristol City 19.21%
Southampton
1-0 @ 13.85% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.23%
3-1 @ 4.92%
3-2 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.56% (+0.01)
Total : 56.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 23.93%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Total : 19.21%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 21, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
LIVE
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Sam Bell 52' goal
  • Zak Vyner 65' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 72' goal
  • Harry Cornick 82' goal
  • Joe Williams 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Fraser 90'+2'
  • goal Adam Armstrong 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Kamal Deen Sulemana 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Adam Armstrong 6' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 15' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 47' goal
  • Ryan Manning 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zak Vyner 85'
League Cup
Sep 24, 2013 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jos Hooiveld 12' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 15' goal
  • Jos Hooiveld 83' goal
Championship
Dec 30, 2011 9.53pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Morgan Schneiderlin 65' yellowcard
  • Danny Fox 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louis Carey 34'
  • yellowcard James Wilson 61'
  • yellowcard Stephen Pearson 69'
  • goal Stephen Pearson 79'
  • yellowcard David James 90'
  • yellowcard Nicky Maynard 90'
Championship
Nov 26, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Albert Adomah 48' goal
  • Stephen Pearson 51' yellowcard
  • Nicky Maynard 84' goal
  • yellowcard Jos Hooiveld 87'