Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 8.00pm
Southampton 3 - 0 Blackburn
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Finn Azaz

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
QPR 0 - 0 Bristol City
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw has a probability of 24.07% and a win for Bristol City has a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.12%) , while for a Bristol City win it is 0-1 (6.4%).

Result

Southampton 56.22% (+0.26)
Draw 24.07% (-0.79)
Bristol City 19.72% (+0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.74% (+2.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.9% (+1.10)
Under 1.5 28.1% (-1.09)
Over 2.5 47.18% (+1.50)
Under 2.5 52.82% (-1.50)
Over 3.5 24.94% (+0.89)
Under 3.5 75.06% (-0.88)
Over 4.5 14.35% (+0.71)
Under 4.5 85.65% (-0.71)

First Half Winner

Southampton 39.59% (+0.94)
Draw 39.98% (-1.20)
Bristol City 20.43% (+0.27)

Team To Score First

Southampton 57.07% (-1.19)
No Goal 8.14% (-0.40)
Bristol City 34.79% (+1.59)

Corners

Over 8 62.6% (-2.64)
Equal 8 10.96% (+0.35)
Under 8 26.44% (+2.31)
Over 9 51% (-2.73)
Equal 9 11.6% (+0.10)
Under 9 37.4% (+2.65)
Over 10.5 39.75% (-2.60)
Under 10.5 60.25% (+2.60)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 48.83% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 51.17% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 22.63% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 77.37% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 8.51% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 91.49% (-0.33)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 53.02% (+0.55)
Under 0.5 46.98% (-0.55)
Over 1.5 20.51% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 79.49% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 6.09% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 93.91% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 1.45% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.55% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Southampton 56.22%
Draw 24.08%
Bristol City 19.72%
Southampton
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.48)
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.29)
2-1 @ 10.06% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 6.12% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.93% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.37% (+0.17)
Other @ 8.46% (+0.43)
Total : 56.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.27)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-0.40)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.10)
Total : 24.08%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 6.4% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 5.09% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 2.89% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.59% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.37% (+0.13)
Other @ 1.4% (+0.12)
Total : 19.72%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 21, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
LIVE
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Sam Bell 52' goal
  • Zak Vyner 65' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 72' goal
  • Harry Cornick 82' goal
  • Joe Williams 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Fraser 90'+2'
  • goal Adam Armstrong 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Kamal Deen Sulemana 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Adam Armstrong 6' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 15' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 47' goal
  • Ryan Manning 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zak Vyner 85'
League Cup
Sep 24, 2013 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jos Hooiveld 12' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 15' goal
  • Jos Hooiveld 83' goal
Championship
Dec 30, 2011 9.53pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Morgan Schneiderlin 65' yellowcard
  • Danny Fox 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louis Carey 34'
  • yellowcard James Wilson 61'
  • yellowcard Stephen Pearson 69'
  • goal Stephen Pearson 79'
  • yellowcard David James 90'
  • yellowcard Nicky Maynard 90'
Championship
Nov 26, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Albert Adomah 48' goal
  • Stephen Pearson 51' yellowcard
  • Nicky Maynard 84' goal
  • yellowcard Jos Hooiveld 87'