Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.94% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%) , while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.