Championship
Middlesbrough
Mar 14, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Bristol City
  • David Strelec 59' yellowcard
  • Leo Castledine 60' yellowcard
  • Leo Castledine 65' goal
  • Alex Gilbert 72' yellowcard
  • George Edmundson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Bell 68'
  • yellowcard Max Bird 78'
  • yellowcard Tomi Horvat 82'
  • goal Adam Randell 90'+6'

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2026 7.45pm
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Charlton
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Leicester 2 - 0 Bristol City
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.44% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%) , while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 55.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.44%
Bristol City 19.91%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.82%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 28.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.81% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 39.39%
Draw 40.93%
Bristol City 19.67%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 61.08% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 8% ▲ (+0.01)
Bristol City 30.92%

Corners

Over 8 61.46%
Equal 8 10.39%
Under 8 28.14%
Over 9 50.57%
Equal 9 10.89%
Under 9 38.54%
Over 10.5 40.03%
Under 10.5 59.97%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 48.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.65% ▲ (+0.02)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 54.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 45.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 20.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.31%
Under 3.5 98.69%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 55.62%
Draw 24.44%
Bristol City 19.89%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 13.38%
2-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 10.09%
3-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 55.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 8% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 24.44%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 6.96%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 2.91%
1-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 19.89%

Head to Head

Championship
Bristol City
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Middlesbrough
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 17' goal
  • Sinclair Armstrong 36' yellowcard
  • Rob Atkinson 62' goal
  • Cameron Pring 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Whittaker 25'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 33'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 87'
Championship Gameweek 34
Bristol City
Feb 21, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Robins High Performance Centre
Middlesbrough
  • George Earthy 72' goal
  • George Earthy 82' goal
  • goal Tommy Conway 37'
  • yellowcard Anfernee Dijksteel 57'
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 78'
Championship Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Riverside Stadium
Bristol City
  • Hayden Hackney 3' yellowcard
  • Rav van den Berg 8' yellowcard
  • Finn Azaz 13' yellowcard
  • Ben Doak 50' yellowcard
  • Luke Ayling 56' yellowcard
  • goal Anis Mehmeti 27'
  • yellowcard Ross McCrorie 41'
  • yellowcard Luke McNally 43'
  • goal Yu Hirakawa 45'+2'
  • yellowcard George Earthy 83'
Championship Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Riverside Stadium
Bristol City
  • Dan Barlaser 73' yellowcard
  • Sam Silvera 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jason Knight 16'
  • goal Matty James 17'
Championship Gameweek 17
Bristol City
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 37' goal
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 42' yellowcard
  • Tommy Conway 45'+1' goal
  • Mark Sykes 67' goal
  • Cameron Pring 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dael Fry 44'
  • goal Zak Vyner 50' (OG)
  • goal Matt Crooks 52'
  • yellowcard Sam Greenwood 63'
Championship Gameweek 41
Bristol City
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Sam Bell 45'+1' goal
  • Harry Cornick 49' goal
  • goal Aaron Ramsey 58'
  • goal Matt Crooks 64'

Form Data

Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Charlton
QPR 0 - 4 Middlesbrough
Birmingham 1 - 3 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Leicester
Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Oxford Utd
Coventry 3 - 1 Middlesbrough
Leicester 2 - 0 Bristol City
Bristol City 0 - 2 Coventry
Port Vale 1 - 0 Bristol City
Bristol City 1 - 2 Watford
Blackburn 1 - 2 Bristol City
Swansea 1 - 0 Bristol City