Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 14, 2026 12.30pm
Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 4.30pm
QPR 0 - 4 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol City 0 - 2 Coventry
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw has a probability of 25.04% and a win for Bristol City has a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.87%) , while for a Bristol City win it is 0-1 (7.14%).

Result

Middlesbrough 54.86%
Draw 25.04%
Bristol City 20.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.71%
Under 1.5 29.29%
Over 2.5 45.42%
Under 2.5 54.58%
Over 3.5 23.66%
Under 3.5 76.34%
Over 4.5 13.07%
Under 4.5 86.93%

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 38.14%
Draw 41.58%
Bristol City 20.28%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 57.65%
No Goal 8.34%
Bristol City 34.01%

Corners

Over 8 60.13%
Equal 8 10.47%
Under 8 29.4%
Over 9 49.26%
Equal 9 10.87%
Under 9 39.86%
Over 10.5 38.84%
Under 10.5 61.16%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 47.09%
Under 1.5 52.91%
Over 2.5 21.24%
Under 2.5 78.76%
Over 3.5 7.59%
Under 3.5 92.41%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 54.28%
Under 0.5 45.72%
Over 1.5 20.23%
Under 1.5 79.77%
Over 2.5 5.46%
Under 2.5 94.54%
Over 3.5 1.2%
Under 3.5 98.8%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 54.86%
Draw 25.04%
Bristol City 20.1%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 13.81%
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 10.08%
3-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 7.57%
Total : 54.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 8.34%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 25.04%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 7.14%
1-2 @ 5.16%
0-2 @ 3.01%
1-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 20.1%

Head to Head

Championship
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 17' goal
  • Sinclair Armstrong 36' yellowcard
  • Rob Atkinson 62' goal
  • Cameron Pring 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Whittaker 25'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 33'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 87'
Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Robins High Performance Centre
  • George Earthy 72' goal
  • George Earthy 82' goal
  • goal Tommy Conway 37'
  • yellowcard Anfernee Dijksteel 57'
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 78'
Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Hayden Hackney 3' yellowcard
  • Rav van den Berg 8' yellowcard
  • Finn Azaz 13' yellowcard
  • Ben Doak 50' yellowcard
  • Luke Ayling 56' yellowcard
  • goal Anis Mehmeti 27'
  • yellowcard Ross McCrorie 41'
  • yellowcard Luke McNally 43'
  • goal Yu Hirakawa 45'+2'
  • yellowcard George Earthy 83'
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Dan Barlaser 73' yellowcard
  • Sam Silvera 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jason Knight 16'
  • goal Matty James 17'
Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 37' goal
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 42' yellowcard
  • Tommy Conway 45'+1' goal
  • Mark Sykes 67' goal
  • Cameron Pring 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dael Fry 44'
  • goal Zak Vyner 50' (OG)
  • goal Matt Crooks 52'
  • yellowcard Sam Greenwood 63'
Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Sam Bell 45'+1' goal
  • Harry Cornick 49' goal
  • goal Aaron Ramsey 58'
  • goal Matt Crooks 64'