Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-0 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.