National League South | Gameweek 41

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Meadow

Chesham
4 - 1
Welling United

Minhas (54'), Upward (62'), Esan (90+1'), Grant (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Di Trolio (58')
Kennedy (78')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions

Last Game: Weston 1-1 Chesham
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Welling United

All competitions

Last Game: Welling United 2-0 Worthing
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 20.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.

Result
Chesham United	Draw	Welling United
55.13% ( -0.01)	24.14% ( 0)	20.72% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.33% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.54% (

-0)

51.46% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.73% (

-0)

73.26% (

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.45% (

-0)

18.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.2% (

-0.01)

49.8% (

0.01)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.56% (

39.43% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.87% (

76.12% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Chesham United 55.13%

Welling United 20.72%

Draw 24.13%

Chesham United	Draw	Welling United
1-0 @ 12.32% 2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.13%	1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.13%	0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.72%