Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.