Women's Champions League
Dec 17, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tarciane 13' yellowcard
  • Vilde Boe Risa 30' goal
  • Wendie Renard 52' goal
  • Kadidiatou Diani 53' goal
  • Korbin Albert 71' goal
  • redcard Luany Vitória da Silva Rosa 36'

Lyon Women vs Atletico Madrid Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
Man Utd 0 - 3 Lyon

Atletico Madrid Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
Atletico Madrid 2 - 2 Bayern Munich

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.17% and a win for Atletico Madrid Women had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%) , while for a Atletico Madrid Women win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Lyon Women 61.59% (+1.54)
Draw 20.17% (-0.48)
Atletico Madrid Women 18.23% (-1.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.17% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.32% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 37.68% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 40.07% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 59.92% (-0.58)
Over 4.5 22.2% (+0.46)
Under 4.5 77.79% (-0.46)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5 88.2% (+0.60)
Under 0.5 11.79% (-0.60)
Over 1.5 62.99% (+1.25)
Under 1.5 37% (-1.25)

Atletico Madrid Women Goals

Over 0.5 65.95% (-0.78)
Under 0.5 34.04% (+0.78)
Over 1.5 29.27% (-0.85)
Under 1.5 70.73% (+0.85)

Score analysis

Lyon Women 61.59%
Draw 20.17%
Atletico Madrid Women 18.23%
Lyon Women
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.17% (+0.19)
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.04% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 6.54% (+0.29)
3-2 @ 3.79% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.76% (+0.17)
4-0 @ 3.49% (+0.23)
4-2 @ 2.03% (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.61% (+0.11)
5-0 @ 1.49% (+0.13)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 61.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.25% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.17%
Atletico Madrid Women
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.23)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 18.23%