Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.17% and a win for Atletico Madrid Women had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%) , while for a Atletico Madrid Women win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.