Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
 

LyonLyon Women
4-0
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid Women

Boe Risa (30' og.), Renard (52' pen.), Diani (53'), Albert (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vitória da Silva Rosa (36')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Lyon Women and Atletico Madrid Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon Women

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lyon 4-0 Atletico Madrid
Wednesday, December 17 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Atletico Madrid Women

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lyon 4-0 Atletico Madrid
Wednesday, December 17 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.17% and a win for Atletico Madrid Women had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%) , while for a Atletico Madrid Women win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Lyon WomenDrawAtletico Madrid Women
61.59% (1.531 1.53)20.17% (-0.477 -0.48)18.23% (-1.055 -1.06)
Both teams to score 58.17% (-0.291 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.32% (0.537 0.54)37.68% (-0.538 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.07% (0.572 0.57)59.92% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.2% (0.592 0.59)11.79% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.99% (1.249 1.25)37% (-1.25 -1.25)
Atletico Madrid Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (-0.779 -0.78)34.04% (0.77699999999999 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (-0.847 -0.85)70.73% (0.84700000000001 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Lyon Women 61.59%
    Atletico Madrid Women 18.23%
    Draw 20.17%
Lyon WomenDrawAtletico Madrid Women
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.187 0.19)
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.54% (0.28 0.28)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.168 0.17)
4-0 @ 3.49% (0.226 0.23)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.049 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.107 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 61.59%
1-1 @ 9.25% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.17%
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 18.23%