Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for an Arsenal Women win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.