Women's Champions League
Apr 27, 2025 5.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stade de Gerland
  • Damaris Egurrola 60' yellowcard
  • Melchie Dumornay 81' goal
  • goal Claudia Christiane Endler Mutinelli 5' (OG)
  • goal Mariona Caldentey 45'+1'
  • goal Alessia Russo 46'
  • goal Caitlin Foord 63'
  • yellowcard Daphne van Domselaar 87'

Lyon Women vs Arsenal Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 12.30pm
Arsenal 1 - 2 Lyon

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 12.30pm
Arsenal 1 - 2 Lyon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for an Arsenal Women win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result

Lyon Women 64.46% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 18.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Arsenal Women 17.34% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.88% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.43% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 29.57% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 49.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 50.67% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 30.12% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 69.87% ▼ (-0.08)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5 91.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 8.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 69.93% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 30.07% ▼ (-0.11)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 70.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 29.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.89% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 66.1% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Lyon Women 64.46%
Draw 18.19%
Arsenal Women 17.34%
Lyon Women
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 64.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.19%
Arsenal Women
1-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 17.34%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Apr 19, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Caitlin Foord 3' yellowcard
  • Kim Little 55' yellowcard
  • Mariona Caldentey 78' goal
  • goal Kadidiatou Diani 17'
  • yellowcard Claudia Christiane Endler Mutinelli 76'
  • goal Melchie Dumornay 82'
Women's Champions League
Dec 15, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Frida Maanum 45'+1' (OG)
Women's Champions League
Oct 19, 2022 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Melvine Malard 27' goal
  • goal Caitlin Foord 13'
  • goal Frida Maanum 23'
  • goal Beth Mead 45'+1'
  • goal Caitlin Foord 67'
  • goal Beth Mead 69'