Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 27, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stade de Gerland

Lyon
1 - 4
Arsenal

Dumornay (81')
Egurrola (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Christiane Endler Mutinelli (5' og.), Caldentey (45+1'), Russo (46'), Foord (63')
van Domselaar (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Champions League clash between Lyon Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon Women

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Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, April 19 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League
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Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, April 19 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for an Arsenal Women win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Lyon WomenDrawArsenal Women
64.46% (0.11199999999999 0.11)18.19% (-0.041 -0.04)17.34% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 63.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.43% (0.060000000000002 0.06)29.57% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.33% (0.073999999999998 0.07)50.67% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.24% (0.039999999999992 0.04)8.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.93% (0.102 0.1)30.07% (-0.106 -0.11)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)29.99% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)66.1% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lyon Women 64.46%
    Arsenal Women 17.34%
    Draw 18.19%
Lyon WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 7.62% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.32% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.64% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.79% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.012 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.36% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 64.46%
1-1 @ 7.7% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.19%
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.16% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 17.34%

How you voted: Lyon vs Arsenal

Lyon Women
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Arsenal Women
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2025 12.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Arsenal
1-2
Lyon
Caldentey (78' pen.)
Foord (3'), Little (55')
Diani (17'), Dumornay (82')
Christiane Endler Mutinelli (76')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Arsenal
0-1
Lyon
Maanum (45+1' og.)
> Preview
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Lyon
1-5
Arsenal
Malard (27')
Foord (13', 67'), Maanum (23'), Mead (45+1', 69')
> Preview