Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Real Madrid Femenino win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.