Women's Champions League
Mar 26, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Alessia Russo 46' goal
  • Mariona Caldentey 49' goal
  • Alessia Russo 59' goal

Arsenal Women vs Real Madrid Femenino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Mar 18, 2025 5.45pm
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Arsenal

Real Madrid Femenino

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Mar 18, 2025 5.45pm
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Real Madrid Femenino win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result

Arsenal Women 64.47% (-0.07)
Draw 19.24% (+0.03)
Real Madrid Femenino 16.3% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.35% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.17% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 36.83% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 41% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 59% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 22.95% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 77.05% (+0.05)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 89.22% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 10.79% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 65.2% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 34.81% (+0.08)

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 0.5 64.28% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 35.72% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 27.51% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 72.5% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Arsenal Women 64.47%
Draw 19.24%
Real Madrid Femenino 16.3%
Arsenal Women
2-1 @ 9.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.58% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.3% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.09% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.95% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 64.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.83% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.24%
Real Madrid Femenino
1-2 @ 4.55% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.97% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 16.3%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Mar 18, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3
  • Linda Caicedo 22' goal
  • Athenea del Castillo 82' goal
  • Olga Carmona 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Misa Rodriguez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chloe Kelly 89'