MX23RW : Friday, April 18 15:55:39| >> :60:251:251:
Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2025 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
3 - 0
Real Madrid

Russo (46', 59'), Caldentey (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Match Report

Alessia Russo hits a brace as Arsenal pull off an incredible comeback to defeat Real Madrid 3-2 on aggregate in the Women's Champions League quarter-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Real Madrid Femenino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 Liverpool
Saturday, March 22 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, March 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Chelsea472.76Beever-Jones
2Arsenal452.65Russo
3Man City382.24Shaw
4Man Utd342.00Terland
5Brighton251.47Kirby
6West Ham231.35Asseyi
7Spurs201.18England
8Everton181.06Gago
9Liverpool171.00Smith
10Aston Villa160.94Daly
11Crystal Palace150.88Blanchard
12Leicester130.76Cayman

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Real Madrid Femenino win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
64.47% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 19.24% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 16.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)36.83% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)59% (0.055 0.05)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.22% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)10.79% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.2% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)34.81% (0.07 0.07)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (0.021999999999991 0.02)35.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)72.5% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 64.47%
    Real Madrid Femenino 16.3%
    Draw 19.24%
Arsenal WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.81% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 64.47%
1-1 @ 8.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.24%
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 16.3%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Real Madrid

Arsenal Women
68.6%
Draw
7.1%
Real Madrid Femenino
24.3%
70
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2025 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Real Madrid
2-0
Arsenal
Caicedo (22'), Del Castillo (82')
Rodriguez (90+4'), Carmona (90+1')

Kelly (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool32237274314376
2Arsenal321712357273063
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle32185961402159
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest32176951381357
5Manchester CityMan City32167962422055
6Chelsea32159856391754
7Aston Villa3215984946354
8Bournemouth321391052401248
9Fulham32139104743448
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32121285149248
11Brentford32127135248443
12Crystal Palace321110114145-443
13Everton32814103438-438
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd32108143845-738
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs321141760491137
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32105174761-1435
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3298153654-1835
18Ipswich TownIpswich3249193367-3421
19Leicester CityLeicester3246222772-4518
20Southampton3224262377-5410


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