	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Arsenal	54	2.84	Russo
2	Chelsea	49	2.72	Beever-Jones
3	Man City	40	2.22	Shaw
4	Man Utd	36	2.00	Terland
5	Brighton	26	1.44	Kirby
6	West Ham	25	1.39	Asseyi
7	Spurs	21	1.17	England
8	Aston Villa	18	1.00	Daly
9	Everton	18	1.00	Gago
10	Liverpool	18	1.00	Smith
11	Crystal Palace	15	0.83	Blanchard
12	Leicester	15	0.79	Cayman

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon Women in this match.

Result
Arsenal Women	Draw	Lyon Women
40.91% ( 4.55)	23.76% ( 0.63)	35.32% ( -5.19)

Both teams to score 62.12% (

-2.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.09% (

-3.32)

39.9% (

3.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.73% (

-3.53)

62.27% (

3.53)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2% (

0.69)

19.8% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.13% (

1.11)

51.87% (

-1.11)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46% (

-3.96)

22.53% (

3.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.89% (

-6.26)

56.11% (

6.26)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Women 40.91%

Lyon Women 35.32%

Draw 23.75%

Arsenal Women	Draw	Lyon Women
2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.67) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 1.19) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 1.07) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.63) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.28) Other @ 3.15% Total : 40.91%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.65) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.53) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.81) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.57) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.57) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.53) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.4) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.36) Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.32%