Women's Champions League
Apr 19, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Caitlin Foord 3' yellowcard
  • Kim Little 55' yellowcard
  • Mariona Caldentey 78' goal
  • goal Kadidiatou Diani 17'
  • yellowcard Claudia Christiane Endler Mutinelli 76'
  • goal Melchie Dumornay 82'

Arsenal Women vs Lyon Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions

Lyon Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon Women in this match.

Result

Arsenal Women 40.91% (+4.55)
Draw 23.76% (+0.64)
Lyon Women 35.32% (-5.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.12% (-2.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.09% (-3.33)
Under 2.5 39.9% (+3.32)
Over 3.5 37.73% (-3.54)
Under 3.5 62.27% (+3.53)
Over 4.5 20.35% (-2.82)
Under 4.5 79.65% (+2.82)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 80.2% (+0.69)
Under 0.5 19.8% (-0.70)
Over 1.5 48.13% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 51.87% (-1.12)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5 77.46% (-3.96)
Under 0.5 22.53% (+3.96)
Over 1.5 43.89% (-6.27)
Under 1.5 56.11% (+6.26)

Score analysis

Arsenal Women 40.91%
Draw 23.75%
Lyon Women 35.32%
Arsenal Women
2-1 @ 8.72% (+0.67)
1-0 @ 7.23% (+1.19)
2-0 @ 5.85% (+1.07)
3-1 @ 4.71% (+0.46)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.16% (+0.64)
4-1 @ 1.91% (+0.22)
4-2 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (+0.28)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 40.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% (+0.61)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.28)
0-0 @ 4.46% (+0.66)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.27)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.75%
Lyon Women
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.53)
0-1 @ 6.65% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.44)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.81)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.58)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.57)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.54)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.40)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 35.32%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Dec 15, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Frida Maanum 45'+1' (OG)
Women's Champions League
Oct 19, 2022 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Melvine Malard 27' goal
  • goal Caitlin Foord 13'
  • goal Frida Maanum 23'
  • goal Beth Mead 45'+1'
  • goal Caitlin Foord 67'
  • goal Beth Mead 69'