Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 93.6%. A draw had a probability of 4.9% and a win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 1.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.99%) and 2-0 (11.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.35%), while for a Leicester City Women win it was 0-1 (0.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.