Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Women win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City Women would win this match.