Taca de Portugal | 5th Round
Dec 17, 2025 at 2pm UK
 

Vila Mea
0-1
Uniao de Leiria

FT(HT: 0-1)
Munoz (24' pen.)
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal 5th Round clash between Vila Mea and Uniao de Leiria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vila Mea

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Vila Mea 0-1 Uniao de Leiria
Wednesday, December 17 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Uniao de Leiria

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Vila Mea 0-1 Uniao de Leiria
Wednesday, December 17 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uniao de Leiria win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Vila Mea had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uniao de Leiria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Vila Mea win was 1-0 (8.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Vila MeaDrawUniao de Leiria
28.41% (1.354 1.35)26.42% (0.356 0.36)45.17% (-1.71 -1.71)
Both teams to score 50.23% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (-0.627 -0.63)54.11% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (-0.528 -0.53)75.53% (0.529 0.53)
Vila Mea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (0.73699999999999 0.74)34.02% (-0.735 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (0.785 0.79)70.7% (-0.78500000000001 -0.79)
Uniao de Leiria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (-1.073 -1.07)23.87% (1.075 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (-1.563 -1.56)58.07% (1.564 1.56)
Score Analysis
    Vila Mea 28.41%
    Uniao de Leiria 45.16%
    Draw 26.42%
Vila MeaDrawUniao de Leiria
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.383 0.38)
2-1 @ 6.76% (0.221 0.22)
2-0 @ 4.72% (0.296 0.3)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.41%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 11.63% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-2 @ 8.33% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-3 @ 3.98% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 45.16%