Major League Soccer

Apr 20, 2025 at 3.30am UK

Earthquakes Stadium

Earthquakes
3 - 5
Kansas

Martinez (30'), Arango (42', 90+4' pen.)
Kaye (36'), Rodrigues (52')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Ndenbe (18'), Salloi (21', 73'), Garcia (24'), Thommy (85')
Pulskamp (90+2'), Pulskamp (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 2-4 Portland
Sunday, April 13 at 7.15pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
52.04% ( -0.22)	21.91% ( -0)	26.04% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 63.39% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.07% (

0.21)

35.93% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.98% (

0.23)

58.02% (

-0.24)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.96% (

14.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.39% (

0.01)

41.6% (

-0.01)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74% (

0.27)

26.25% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.63% (

0.36)

61.37% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 52.05%

Sporting Kansas City 26.04%

Draw 21.91%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 52.05%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.91%	1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 26.04%