Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 58.06%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 21.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest San Diego win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | San Diego |
| 58.06% ( | 20.74% ( | 21.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.17% ( | 35.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.09% ( | 57.91% ( |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.8% ( | 12.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.14% ( | 37.86% ( |
| San Diego Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( | 30.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% ( | 66.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | San Diego |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 3-1 @ 6.84% ( 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 3-2 @ 4.11% ( 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 5-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.4% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.74% | 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 21.2% |