Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Metz |
| 40.63% | 26.93% | 32.44% |
| Both teams to score 50.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.44% | 54.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.09% | 75.91% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% | 26.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% | 61.54% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% | 31.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% | 67.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.63% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.44% |