Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
3 - 2
Troyes

Sainte-Luce (3'), Savanier (15', 81')
Makouana (52')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Tardieu (12' pen.), Balde (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-2 Montpellier
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Marseille	0	0	0
11	Montpellier HSC	0	0	0
12	Nantes	0	0	0

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Toulouse	0	0	0
17	Troyes	0	0	0
18	Ajaccio	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Troyes
43.85% ( 0.37)	26.03% ( -0.14)	30.12% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 52.4% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.24% (

0.48)

51.76% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.47% (

0.41)

73.53% (

-0.41)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51% (

0.39)

23.49% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.49% (

0.56)

57.51% (

-0.56)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48% (

0.08)

31.52% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.09% (

0.09)

67.91% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 43.84%

Troyes 30.12%

Draw 26.03%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.84%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.12%