Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Dijon |
| 54.04% | 24.95% | 21.01% |
| Both teams to score 47.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.76% | 54.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.36% | 75.64% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% | 20.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.75% | 52.25% |
| Dijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% | 40.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% | 77.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Dijon |
| 1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.68% Total : 54.04% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.27% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.25% Total : 21.01% |