Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35

May 2, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stade Gaston Gérard

Dijon
1 - 5
Metz

Gueye (37'), Sarr (42'), Balde (48'), Chafik (71' og.), Goncalves (82'), Bronn (85')
Ndiaga Yade (5'), Lautoa (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Dijon and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Dijon win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
Dijon	Draw	Metz
28.39%	27.36%	44.25%

Both teams to score 47.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.41%

57.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.63%

78.36%

Dijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1%

35.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.33%

72.67%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.12%

25.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.14%

60.86%

Score Analysis

Dijon 28.39%

Metz 44.25%

Draw 27.35%

Dijon	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 4.88% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.97% Total : 28.39%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 12.55% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.25%

How you voted: Dijon vs Metz

Dijon

19.2%

Draw

34.6%

Metz

46.2%