Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Lens |
| 33.65% | 25.47% | 40.88% |
| Both teams to score 55.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% | 48.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% | 70.39% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% | 27.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% | 62.89% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% | 23.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% | 57.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.88% |