Tigres
Liga MX | 2nd Leg
May 12, 2025 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Tigres
2 - 2
Necaxa

Brunetta (51', 51'), Mayorga (90+7' og., 90+7' og.)
Gorriaran (90+5'), Gorriaran (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Palavecino (63', 63'), Badaloni (86', 86')
Andrade (90+16'), Andrade (90+16')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-0 Tigres
Friday, May 9 at 2am in Liga MX
Next Game: Tigres vs. Houston
Monday, July 28 at 11pm in Leagues Cup

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 0-0 Tigres
Friday, May 9 at 2am in Liga MX
Next Game: Necaxa vs. Atlanta
Tuesday, July 29 at 11pm in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
TigresDrawNecaxa
63.78% (-0.206 -0.21)20.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)16.08% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 53.59% (0.408 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.51% (0.317 0.32)41.49% (-0.313 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11% (0.32 0.32)63.89% (-0.317 -0.32)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)12.34% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.84% (0.076999999999998 0.08)38.16% (-0.073 -0.07)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.13% (0.441 0.44)38.86% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41% (0.417 0.42)75.59% (-0.41300000000001 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Tigres 63.77%
    Necaxa 16.08%
    Draw 20.14%
TigresDrawNecaxa
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.32% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.83% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.62% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 63.77%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.14%
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 16.08%

Head to Head
May 9, 2025 2am
Necaxa
0-0
Tigres
Paradela (80')
Sanchez (88'), Zwarg (90+9')
Mar 2, 2025 1am
Gameweek 10
Necaxa
1-2
Tigres
Palavecino (82')
Paradela (22'), Lara (76')
Brunetta (53'), Garcia (90+4')
Jul 7, 2024 2am
Gameweek 1
Tigres
1-0
Necaxa
Gignac (19' pen.)
Ibanez (79')

Roque (86')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2024 2.05am
Gameweek 16
Tigres
5-2
Necaxa
Gignac (51'), Herrera (54'), Flores (59', 62', 69')
Tercero (20'), Samir (86')
Samudio (33'), Andrade (73')
Samudio (30'), Colorado (84'), Rodriguez (86')
Aug 21, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 4
Necaxa
0-3
Tigres

Montes (20'), Mantilla (32'), Martinez (90')
Gignac (10'), Angulo (68'), Quinones (80')
Gignac (13'), Samir (34')