Tigres
CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 24, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Tigres
1 - 1
Cruz Azul

Sanchez (84', 84')
Sanchez (3'), Sanchez (3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rotondi (68', 68')
Sepulveda (13'), Sepulveda (13'), Rivero (35'), Rivero (35'), Rivero (35'), Rivero (35')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Semi-Finals clash between Tigres and Cruz Azul.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
TigresDrawCruz Azul
55.38% (10.935 10.94)23.94% (-2.848 -2.85)20.67% (-8.091 -8.09)
Both teams to score 49.85% (0.478 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27% (4.585 4.59)50.73% (-4.587 -4.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37% (3.903 3.9)72.63% (-3.905 -3.91)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (6.571 6.57)18.18% (-6.574 -6.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.82% (10.138 10.14)49.18% (-10.14 -10.14)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.93% (-4.688 -4.69)39.07% (4.685 4.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.21% (-4.697 -4.7)75.79% (4.695 4.7)
Score Analysis
    Tigres 55.38%
    Cruz Azul 20.67%
    Draw 23.94%
TigresDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 10.32% (2.024 2.02)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.845 0.85)
3-0 @ 5.87% (2.005 2.01)
3-1 @ 5.51% (1.392 1.39)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.39 0.39)
4-0 @ 2.5% (1.153 1.15)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.911 0.91)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.336 0.34)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 55.38%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-1.3 -1.3)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-1.409 -1.41)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.94%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-2.412 -2.41)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-1.424 -1.42)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-1.713 -1.71)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.735 -0.74)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.743 -0.74)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 20.67%

Head to Head
Feb 16, 2025 1am
Gameweek 7
Tigres
2-1
Cruz Azul
Lainez (47'), Joaquim (53')
Garcia (26'), Joaquim (45+3'), Aquino (55'), (90+7'), Guzman (90+7')
Ibanez (65')
Rivero (90+8')
Giakoumakis (41'), Lira (79'), Faravelli (79'), Rodriguez (80')
Nov 10, 2024 3.05am
Gameweek 17
Cruz Azul
1-1
Tigres
Sepulveda (90+8')
Romo (2'), Rodriguez (45+1'), Sepulveda (90+9'), Sepulveda (90+9')
Ibanez (88' pen.)
Sanchez (90+5')
Feb 18, 2024 3.05am
Gameweek 7
Cruz Azul
1-0
Tigres
Reyes (83' og.)
Ditta (90+1'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Ditta (90+4')

Sanchez (75'), Gignac (77'), Herrera (80'), Guzman (88')
Tercero (90+3')
Oct 22, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 13
Tigres
2-1
Cruz Azul
Gignac (61'), Carioca (90+6')
Lainez (23'), Angulo (38'), Gignac (40')
Uriel (45+3')
Salcedo (82'), Cambindo (86'), Guerrero (90+4')
Feb 5, 2023 1.05am