Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 6, 2025 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
3 - 2
Pumas

Rotondi (28', 28', 61', 61'), Montano (45+6', 45+6')
Giakoumakis (65'), Giakoumakis (65'), Romero (71'), Romero (71')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Pussetto (16', 16'), Carrasquilla (81' pen., 81' pen.)
Funes Mori (14'), Funes Mori (14'), Ruvalcaba (50'), Ruvalcaba (50'), Martinez (72'), Martinez (72')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 0-0 Cruz Azul
Wednesday, April 2 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Pumas
Thursday, April 3 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawPumas
62.85% (1.74 1.74)20.54% (-0.78 -0.78)16.61% (-0.95 -0.95)
Both teams to score 53.4% (0.632 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67% (1.826 1.83)42.33% (-1.816 -1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.26% (1.799 1.8)64.74% (-1.79 -1.79)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.13% (1.1 1.1)12.87% (-1.092 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.75% (2.201 2.2)39.25% (-2.191 -2.19)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)38.72% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)75.46% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 62.84%
    Pumas 16.61%
    Draw 20.54%
Cruz AzulDrawPumas
2-0 @ 10.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.16% (0.291 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.267 0.27)
4-0 @ 3.67% (0.289 0.29)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.269 0.27)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.126 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.173 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 62.84%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.397 -0.4)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.415 -0.42)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.54%
0-1 @ 4.73% (-0.401 -0.4)
1-2 @ 4.6% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 16.61%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 1am
Gameweek 14
Pumas
0-2
Cruz Azul

Duarte (10'), Silva (50')
Sepulveda (1'), Rivero (12')
Ditta (34'), Sepulveda (35')
May 13, 2024 2am
Cruz Azul
2-2
Pumas
Gutierrez (77'), Faravelli (90+2')
Piovi (33'), Rivero (37')
Martinez (52'), Huerta (86')
Martinez (37'), Silva (49'), Salvio (59'), Lopez (90+1')
Silva (82')
May 10, 2024 2am
Pumas
0-2
Cruz Azul

Funes Mori (65'), Suarez (81')
Rivero (27'), Faravelli (57')
Rivero (32'), Rodriguez (80')
Mar 31, 2024 4.05am
Gameweek 13
Pumas
0-0
Cruz Azul
Rivas (70'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (84')
Candido (70'), Faravelli (90')
Oct 8, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 12
Cruz Azul
1-4
Pumas
Sepulveda (45+2')
Rivero (29'), Escobar (42')
Huerta (30' pen., 60'), Rivas (72'), Silva (80')
Lopez (36'), Salvio (43'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (46'), Aldrete (58'), Jose Gonzalez (58')