Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 9, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Tigres

Necaxa
0 - 0
Tigres


Paradela (80'), Paradela (80')
FT

Sanchez (88'), Sanchez (88'), Zwarg (90+9'), Zwarg (90+9')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Tigres.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 0-1 Necaxa
Saturday, April 19 at 2am in Liga MX

Tigres

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Tigres
Friday, May 2 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawTigres
27.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)24.6% (0.124 0.12)47.86% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.33% (-0.413 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (-0.542 -0.54)47.16% (0.545 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61% (-0.508 -0.51)69.39% (0.51000000000001 0.51)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-0.28399999999999 -0.28)31.03% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (-0.335 -0.34)67.35% (0.337 0.34)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)19.77% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19% (-0.432 -0.43)51.82% (0.435 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 27.54%
    Tigres 47.86%
    Draw 24.6%
NecaxaDrawTigres
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.106 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 27.54%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.143 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.1% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.86%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2025 1am
Gameweek 10
Necaxa
1-2
Tigres
Palavecino (82')
Paradela (22'), Lara (76')
Brunetta (53'), Garcia (90+4')
Jul 7, 2024 2am
Gameweek 1
Tigres
1-0
Necaxa
Gignac (19' pen.)
Ibanez (79')

Roque (86')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2024 2.05am
Gameweek 16
Tigres
5-2
Necaxa
Gignac (51'), Herrera (54'), Flores (59', 62', 69')
Tercero (20'), Samir (86')
Samudio (33'), Andrade (73')
Samudio (30'), Colorado (84'), Rodriguez (86')
Aug 21, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 4
Necaxa
0-3
Tigres

Montes (20'), Mantilla (32'), Martinez (90')
Gignac (10'), Angulo (68'), Quinones (80')
Gignac (13'), Samir (34')
Mar 4, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 10
Necaxa
0-1
Tigres
Gorriaran (42')