Liga MX | Gameweek 16

Apr 16, 2025 at 4am UK

Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
2 - 2
Necaxa

Castilho (45+4', 45+4'), Villalpando (78', 78')
Castilho (16'), Castilho (16'), Madson (37'), Madson (37'), Jurado (64'), Jurado (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Palavecino (47', 47'), Paradela (63', 63')
Palavecino (16'), Palavecino (16'), Adolfo Palma Cisneros (31'), Adolfo Palma Cisneros (31'), Rosero (41'), Rosero (41')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions

Last Game: Pumas 0-0 Juarez
Sunday, April 13 at 12am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Necaxa

All competitions

Last Game: Necaxa 3-5 Pachuca
Saturday, April 12 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Juarez	Draw	Necaxa
41.09% ( 1.68)	24.07% ( 0.3)	34.83% ( -1.97)

Both teams to score 60.84% (

-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.46% (

-1.75)

41.54% (

1.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.06% (

-1.79)

63.94% (

1.79)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.59% (

0.03)

20.41% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.15% (

0.05)

52.84% (

-0.05)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.44% (

-1.84)

23.55% (

1.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.39% (

-2.74)

57.61% (

2.73)

Score Analysis

Juarez 41.09%

Necaxa 34.83%

Draw 24.07%

Juarez	Draw	Necaxa
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.92% Total : 41.09%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.83%