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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
1 - 0
Lanus

Lema (6' og.)
Ferreira (45+4'), Velazquez (53'), Gomez (57'), Eduardo Recalde (89'), Hoyos (90+2')
Ferreira (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Canale (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 C. Cordoba
Tuesday, August 22 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 0-1 San Lorenzo
Sunday, August 20 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawLanus
40.32% (-0.329 -0.33) 29.36% (-0.328 -0.33) 30.32% (0.657 0.66)
Both teams to score 43.01% (1.068 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.32% (1.187 1.19)63.67% (-1.187 -1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.05% (0.841 0.84)82.95% (-0.84200000000001 -0.84)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04% (0.41199999999999 0.41)30.96% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.74% (0.482 0.48)67.26% (-0.483 -0.48)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (1.181 1.18)37.7% (-1.182 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (1.136 1.14)74.48% (-1.136 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 40.31%
    Lanus 30.31%
    Draw 29.36%
Newell's Old BoysDrawLanus
1-0 @ 13.68% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.06% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.31%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 11.67% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.36%
0-1 @ 11.38% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 30.31%

Head to Head
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 17
Lanus
1-0
Newell's OB
Diaz (15')

Ortiz (40')
Aug 17, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 14
Newell's OB
2-0
Lanus
Tomas Ortellado (27' og.), Balzi (44')
Perez (82'), Morales (90')
Funez (51')

Tomas Ortellado (24'), Perez (90+1'), Leonel Blando (90+8')
Sep 20, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Lanus
1-2
Newell's OB
Castro (12', 29')
Fernandez (54'), Aguerre (63'), Castro (82'), Bittolo (87'), Compagnucci (90+2')
Apr 12, 2021 11pm
First Phase
Lanus
1-3
Newell's OB
Sand (21')
De la Vega (14'), Morales (56'), Belmonte (65'), Sand (67'), Esquivel (85')
Belmonte (66')
Cristaldo (45'), Cacciabue (61', 73')
Cabral (9'), Cristaldo (65'), Pablo Freytes (90+3')
Dec 7, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Newell's OB
3-1
Lanus
Nadalin (28'), Gentiletti (38'), Fernandez (45+1'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Orozco (19'), Perez (36')
Perez (46')
rhs 2.0
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