Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 0-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
24.18% ( -0.94) | 21.16% ( -0.37) | 54.66% ( 1.32) |
Both teams to score 64.05% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.82% ( 0.83) | 34.18% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.93% ( 0.93) | 56.07% ( -0.92) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.32% ( -0.25) | 26.68% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.07% ( -0.34) | 61.93% ( 0.34) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.36% ( 0.67) | 12.64% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.21% ( 1.37) | 38.79% ( -1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 24.18% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 3.4% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 1.41% ( 0.11) 0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.46% Total : 54.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |