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Birmingham logo
FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Hull logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
Hull City

Stansfield (66'), Miyoshi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lokilo (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Norwich
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Hull City

Birmingham were up for the fight during Mowbray's first match but looked defensively weak at points, something Hull's Carvalho could take advantage of. The Tigers are dominating football matches but are not finding the results in recent games, but they should be good enough for the win here unless they rotate their side heavily. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawHull City
33.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 26.23%40.55%
Both teams to score 52.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41%51.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62%73.37%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69%65.3%
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25%59.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 33.21%
    Hull City 40.55%
    Draw 26.23%
Birmingham CityDrawHull City
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-1 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.55%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Hull City

Birmingham City
48.2%
Draw
10.7%
Hull City
41.1%
56
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Third Round
Hull City
1-1
Birmingham
Jacob (87')
Tufan (90+1')
Jutkiewicz (18')
Jutkiewicz (39'), Sanderson (43'), Dembele (57'), Etheridge (75'), Bielik (86'), James (90+4')
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Birmingham
0-2
Hull City

Long (55'), Bacuna (90+3')
Delap (12'), Philogene-Bidace (74')
Delap (55')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 16, 2022 3.20pm
Gameweek 15
Hull City
0-2
Birmingham
Deeney (14' pen.), Bacuna (47')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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