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Premier League 2 - Div 1
Jan 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Colney Training Centre

Arsenal U21s
1 - 0
Boro U21s

Kabia (52')
Kabia (30'), Ibrahim (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wheaton (14'), Woolston (83')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Arsenal Under-21s and Middlesbrough Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland U21s 1-2 Arsenal U21s
Monday, December 18 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Reading U21s 2-2 Boro U21s
Monday, December 18 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Under-21sDrawMiddlesbrough Under-21s
57.49% (0.14599999999999 0.15) 18.98% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 23.54% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 71.78% (-0.593 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.98% (-0.622 -0.62)24.02% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.38% (-0.832 -0.83)43.63% (0.838 0.84)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.32% (-0.157 -0.16)8.68% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.1% (-0.393 -0.39)29.91% (0.397 0.4)
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61% (-0.509 -0.51)21.4% (0.515 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (-0.79499999999999 -0.79)54.39% (0.8 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Under-21s 57.49%
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 23.54%
    Draw 18.98%
Arsenal Under-21sDrawMiddlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 5.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 4.54% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 4.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 3.28% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.035 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.69% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.97%
Total : 57.49%
1-1 @ 7% (0.137 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.76% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-0 @ 1.86% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 18.98%
1-2 @ 5.4% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-1 @ 2.87% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.21% (0.026 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 23.54%

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