MX23RW : Tuesday, May 7 16:11:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 14, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
FC Twente logo

Ajax
2 - 1
FC Twente

Brobbey (59'), Bergwijn (81' pen.)
Sutalo (5'), Mannsverk (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Sittard
Saturday, April 6 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 1-2 FC Twente

When Ajax have played Twente at home in the past, a home win has generally been regarded as a foregone conclusion. However, times have recently changed, and we expect the visitors to outclass and outfight their hosts for another victory in a strong campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Twente
46.04% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 22.56% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 31.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 65.16% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.66% (-0.126 -0.13)35.34% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.63% (-0.142 -0.14)57.37% (0.143 0.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)15.88% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.9% (-0.107 -0.11)45.1% (0.109 0.11)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)22.54% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)56.12% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 46.04%
    FC Twente 31.4%
    Draw 22.56%
AjaxDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.04%
1-1 @ 9.81% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 31.4%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Rots (7'), Steijn (11'), Unuvar (79')
Sadilek (74')
Brobbey (35')
Bergwijn (13'), Hato (82')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
Smal (53'), Sadilek (68')
Tadic (31')
Berghuis (85')
Feb 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
FC Twente
0-1
Ajax
Kudus (70')
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Feb 13, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 20
Ajax
5-0
FC Twente
Klaassen (31'), Haller (53', 85', 88'), Propper (77' og.)
Tadic (41')

Rots (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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