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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 30.17% | 27.74% | 42.09% |
| Both teams to score 47.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.75% | 58.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.12% | 78.88% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.13% | 34.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.39% | 71.61% |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% | 27.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.24% | 62.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 6.86% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.16% Total : 30.17% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 12.36% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.9% Total : 42.09% |