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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Newport County |
| 40.11% | 27.3% | 32.59% |
| Both teams to score 49.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.03% | 55.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.93% | 77.07% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% | 27.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% | 62.77% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% | 31.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.59% | 68.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.59% |