League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 0
Bolton

Maynard (63')
Bennett (45+1'), Labadie (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Bolton Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newport County in this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
38.86%	28.65%	32.48%

Both teams to score 45.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.11%

60.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.09%

80.9%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58%

30.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38%

66.62%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42%

34.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7%

71.3%

Score Analysis

Newport County 38.86%

Bolton Wanderers 32.48%

Draw 28.64%

Newport County	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 12.51% 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.86%	1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.64%	0-1 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.24% Total : 32.48%

League Two

Newport1 - 0Bolton

Data Analysis

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