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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 56.52% | 23.71% | 19.77% |
| Both teams to score 49.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.08% | 50.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.21% | 72.79% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.17% | 17.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.42% | 48.58% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% | 40.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.22% | 76.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% 2-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 5.58% 4-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.54% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.53% 1-2 @ 5.14% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.29% Total : 19.77% |