League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
3 - 0
Exeter

McLaughlin (25', 25'), Dwyer (38', 38'), Waine (82')
Kokkinos (90+2')

FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Mansfield Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 4-2 Peterborough
Wednesday, April 30 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Exeter City
49.76% ( 1.19)	24.98% ( 0.35)	25.25% ( -1.54)

Both teams to score 52.13% (

-2.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

-2.61)

50.42% (

2.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

-2.36)

72.36% (

2.36)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

-0.54)

20.28% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.36% (

-0.88)

52.63% (

0.88)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.4% (

-2.65)

34.6% (

2.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67% (

-2.91)

71.32% (

2.91)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 49.76%

Exeter City 25.25%

Draw 24.98%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.76%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.25%