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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Reading |
| 39.26% | 24.82% | 35.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% | 44.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% | 67.26% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( | 22.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% | 56.43% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( | 24.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.02% ( | 58.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% 1-0 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.26% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0-1 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.92% Total : 35.92% |