League One Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 1
FT One Call Stadium
  • Keanu Baccus 62' goal
  • Keanu Baccus 82' yellowcard
  • goal Jayden Wareham 35'
  • goal George Williams 49' (OG)
  • goal Lewis Wing 57'
  • yellowcard Garcia Garcia 66'
  • goal Jayden Wareham 74'
  • goal Billy Bodin 90'+5'

Mansfield Town vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Rotherham 3 - 3 Mansfield
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Will Evans

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Reading 0 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Harvey Knibbs

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result

Mansfield Town 39.26%
Draw 24.82%
Reading 35.92% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.31%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.09%
Under 2.5 44.91%
Over 3.5 32.73%
Under 3.5 67.26%
Over 4.5 16.6%
Under 4.5 83.4% (+0.01)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.25% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.75%
Over 1.5 43.57%
Under 1.5 56.43% (+0.01)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 75.48% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.52%
Over 1.5 41.02% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.98%

Score analysis

Mansfield Town 39.26%
Draw 24.81%
Reading 35.92%
Mansfield Town
2-1 @ 8.59%
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
Reading
1-2 @ 8.16% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 35.92%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Manadi Camara 17' goal
  • Manadi Camara 17' goal
  • Tyler Bindon 55' goal
  • Amadou Mbengue 78' yellowcard
  • Jayden Wareham 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Will Evans 45'
  • goal Will Evans 45'
  • yellowcard Will Evans 54'
  • yellowcard Stephen McLaughlin 83'