Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.