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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 36.49% ( | 24.61% ( | 38.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.14% ( | 43.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% ( | 66.24% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( | 23.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.15% ( | 57.85% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( | 22.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.99% ( | 56.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 36.49% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0-2 @ 5.94% ( 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.9% |