League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 27, 2025 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
4 - 0
Mansfield

Anderson (24'), Thor Willumsson (39'), Dowell (50'), Iwata (57')
Davies (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Waine (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Birmingham
Thursday, April 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 1-5 Reading
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 15.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Mansfield Town win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Mansfield Town
64.79% ( 0.3)	19.97% ( -0.09)	15.23% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 52.15% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.6% (

-0)

42.39% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.2% (

-0)

64.8% (

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.66% (

0.08)

12.33% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.86% (

0.17)

38.14% (

-0.17)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.48% (

-0.27)

40.51% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.88% (

-0.25)

77.12% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 64.78%

Mansfield Town 15.23%

Draw 19.97%

Birmingham City	Draw	Mansfield Town
2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 64.78%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5% 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.97%	0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.78% Total : 15.23%