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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Mansfield Town win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
64.79% (![]() | 19.97% (![]() | 15.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.15% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.6% (![]() | 42.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.2% (![]() | 64.8% (![]() |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.66% (![]() | 12.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.86% (![]() | 38.14% (![]() |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.48% (![]() | 40.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.88% (![]() | 77.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-0 @ 10.94% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.45% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 3.44% Total : 64.78% | 1-1 @ 9.45% (![]() 0-0 @ 5% 2-2 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.97% | 0-1 @ 4.51% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 15.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 |
5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 |
7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 |
9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 |
12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 |
14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 |
17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 |
R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 |
R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 |
R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 |
R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 |
> League One Full Table |