USA national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 12, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
Haiti national football team

USA
1 - 0
Haiti

Vines (8')
Acosta (72'), Zardes (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Experience (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between USA and Haiti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 59.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Haiti had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Haiti win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for USA in this match.

Result
USADrawHaiti
59.5%22.39%18.11%
Both teams to score 50.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14%47.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96%70.04%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29%15.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22%44.78%
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.78%40.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.14%76.86%
Score Analysis
    USA 59.49%
    Haiti 18.11%
    Draw 22.39%
USADrawHaiti
1-0 @ 11.69%
2-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 6.08%
4-0 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 1.28%
5-0 @ 1.15%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 59.49%
1-1 @ 10.65%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.39%
0-1 @ 5.75%
1-2 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 2.62%
1-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 18.11%

How you voted: USA vs Haiti

USA
81.0%
Draw
11.9%
Haiti
7.1%
42
rhs 2.0


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