World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 4pm UK

Baba Yara Stadium

Ghana
1 - 0
Madagascar

Williams (90+6')
Kudus (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Razafindrabe (51'), Raveloson (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ghana and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions

Last Game: USA 4-0 Ghana
Wednesday, October 18 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	0	0	0
2	Ghana	0	0	0
3	Egypt	0	0	0
4	Mozambique	0	0	0

Madagascar

All competitions

Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Benin
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 69.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 9.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.8%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.13%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ghana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ghana.

Result
Ghana	Draw	Madagascar
69.48% ( -1.21)	20.69% ( 0.59)	9.83% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 34.89% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.87% (

-0.57)

57.14% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22% (

-0.45)

78.01% (

0.46)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45% (

-0.57)

15.56% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.5% (

-1.09)

44.5% (

1.09)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.31% (

0.96)

58.69% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.04% (

0.51)

89.97% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Ghana 69.47%

Madagascar 9.83%

Draw 20.69%

Ghana	Draw	Madagascar
1-0 @ 16.98% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 15.8% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.26% Total : 69.47%	0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.2) 1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.69%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.26% Total : 9.83%