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Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
0 - 1
Elfsborg


Fjortoft Lovik (26'), Lund Jensen (63'), Haugan (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Qasem (15')
Qasem (43'), Pettersson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Molde and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-0 Molde
Thursday, August 15 at 7pm in Europa League

Elfsborg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Elfsborg
Sunday, August 18 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 1-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MoldeDrawElfsborg
55.96% (0.061 0.06)20.97% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)23.07% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 63.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)34.53% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.53% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)56.47% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)12.38% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.75%38.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)27.74% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)63.32% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Molde 55.96%
    Elfsborg 23.07%
    Draw 20.97%
MoldeDrawElfsborg
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.97%
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 23.07%

How you voted: Molde vs Elfsborg

Molde
61.7%
Draw
22.6%
Elfsborg
15.8%
133
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2022 5.45pm
Second Qualifying Round 2nd Leg
Elfsborg
1-2
Molde
Baidoo (40')
Jarjue (7')
Breivik (54'), Fofana (83')
Haugan (24')
Jul 21, 2022 5pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Molde
4-1
Elfsborg
Andre Kaasa (49'), Haugen (55'), Breivik (60'), Mannsverk (81' pen.)
Knudtzon (90+1'), Hansen (90+3')
Alm (14')
Strand (43'), Larsson (50'), Romer (51'), Henriksson (57'), Holmen (75')
Boateng (90+3')